Good morning. The very best play on regicide in English literature is Macbeth, which incorporates the sound recommendation: “If it had been carried out when ‘tis carried out, then ‘twere effectively it had been carried out shortly.” Boris Johnson is an enormous fan of the play; Jennifer Arcuri once said they used to read it together on dates. However the Tory MPs plotting to pressure him out appear much less accustomed to the masterpiece, as a result of the extraordinary hypothesis a few vote of no confidence being triggered this week (which peaked on Tuesday night time) has now light. “If it had been carried out, ‘twere effectively to attend for the Sue Grey report first” now appears to be the recommendation they’re following.

The shock defection of the Conservative MP Christian Wakeford to Labour has made a distinction. Right here is the write-through by my colleagues Jessica Elgot, Aubrey Allegretti and Rowena Mason that explains why.

And this morning the Conservative MP Andrew Percy has stated this explicitly. He instructed the In the present day programme:

It’s form of made individuals a bit extra relaxed, it’s calmed nerves. I feel individuals have recognised that really this fixed navel gazing and inner debating is just to the benefit of our political opponents.

The prime minister might be thanking Christian for what he did as a result of it’s made lots of people assume once more, assume twice.

This may increasingly appear to be excellent news for Johnson, however all that has actually modified is timing. Because the politics professor Tim Bale argues, the basic scenario for the prime minister stays grim.

Tim Bale

Would an enterprising political journalist please ask Tory MPs to elucidate the logic behind the concept one among them defecting to Labour signifies that the PM is now much less of an electoral legal responsibility than he was earlier than that defection. I simply do not get it. Assist! https://t.co/h6u9PrmhkE

January 20, 2022

Right here is the agenda for the day.

10am: Steve Barclay, the Cupboard Workplace minister, provides proof to the Commons public administration and constitutional affairs committee in regards to the work of his division.

After 10.30am: Jacob Rees-Mogg, the chief of the Commons, takes questions from MPs on subsequent week’s enterprise.

11am: Rachel Reeves, the shadow chancellor, provides a speech on Labour’s plan for development.

11am: Tony Blair, the previous Labour prime minister, provides a speech on the way forward for Britain.

11am: Maria Caulfield, the well being minister, provides proof to the Commons well being committee about most cancers providers.

11.30am: Downing Avenue holds a foyer briefing.

12pm: Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland’s first minister, takes questions within the Scottish parliament.

There can be some UK Covid protection right here, however for extra coronavirus protection, do learn our international reside weblog. It’s right here.

I attempt to monitor the feedback beneath the road (BTL) however it’s inconceivable to learn all of them. When you’ve got a direct query, do embrace “Andrew” in it someplace and I’m extra prone to discover it. I do attempt to reply questions, and if they’re of basic curiosity, I’ll publish the query and reply above the road (ATL), though I can’t promise to do that for everybody.

If you wish to appeal to my consideration shortly, it’s in all probability higher to make use of Twitter. I’m on @AndrewSparrow.

Alternatively, you possibly can electronic mail me at andrew.sparrow@theguardian.com


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